Tinklas ir švari energija
Security of supply and cross-border flows
How exposed is each zone? Reservoir levels, scarcity hours, how much it relies on imports and over which borders, simple what-if scenarios, and what changed when the Baltic grids synchronised with Continental Europe.
NO2 by year
Calculating…
Dry-year scenario
Weekly prices regressed on the reservoir gap to normal (with month effects). A simple, transparent model, not a market simulation.
Calculating…
Borders since January 2025
Physical flows from ENTSO-E. Utilisation compares the average flow with the highest flow seen (published capacities are not used). Congestion rent ≈ |flow| × |price difference|.
Calculating…
Baltic synchronisation, 9 February 2025
Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania left the Russian-controlled BRELL ring and joined the Continental European grid. One year before against one year after, with Finland as the control (difference-in-differences), so a general market move is not mistaken for the effect of the switch.
Calculating…
Screening estimates from published market data, not investment advice. History is retrospective; forward figures follow the stated assumptions.